FIGHTSPLIT
Rafael Tobias

UFC · Light Heavyweight · Unranked

Rafael Tobias

Bipolar

14-2

Record

5

KO/TKO wins

6

Sub wins

3

Decision wins

Photo: ESPN

Tale of the Tape

Age

23

Height

6' 2"

Reach

74.5"

Stance

Orthodox

Country

Brazil

Key Stats

88%

Win Rate

79%

Finish Rate

5

KO/TKO Wins

6

Submission Wins

0

Title Fight Wins

16

Pro Fights

Advanced Stats

Color = level vs. division

Striking

Sig. Strikes / Min3.45
Striking Accuracy40%
KO/TKO Rate36%

Grappling

Takedowns / 15 MinTOP 11%4.0
Takedown AccuracyTOP 1%100%
Sub Attempts / 15 MinTOP 4%4.0
Submission RateTOP 9%43%

Career

Win RateTOP 16%88%
Finish Rate79%
Pro Fights16

Win Methods

KO/TKO5 (36%)
Submission6 (43%)
Decision3 (21%)

"Bipolar". That's what they call Rafael Tobias, and is part of the UFC light heavyweight division's deep end, fighting out of Brazil — 16 pro fights in, still swinging for a number next to his name.

The game is built on grappling: 4 takedowns per 15 minutes, and opponents spend rounds defending instead of fighting. 6 submission wins say what happens when the defense slips.

He's coming off a loss to Diyar Nurgozhay. Careers aren't defined by the fall, though; they're defined by the rebound.

And here's the scary part: he's 23. 16 pro fights before most fighters hit their prime — the ceiling is nowhere in sight.

Recent Fights

L

Diyar Nurgozhay

Decision - Unanimous · Mar 7, 2026

W

Jair de Oliveira

Submission (Rear Naked Choke) R1 · Sep 24, 2025

W

Wellington Silva Lopes

KO/TKO R2 · Apr 12, 2025

W

Marcelo Alejandro Nunez Sparling

KO/TKO (Punches) R1 · Aug 1, 2024

W

Willyanedson Paiva

Decision - Unanimous · Apr 21, 2024