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Benavidez Backs 'Bam' Rodriguez to Hand Inoue His First Loss

David Benavidez is picking Jesse Rodriguez to upset the 33-0 Naoya Inoue — and Bam reportedly just agreed to a March 2027 deadline.

By FightSplit Editorial Team · Published Oct 30, 2026

Naoya Inoue in the ring during a super bantamweight title fight
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David Benavidez thinks Naoya Inoue's perfect ledger is about to get a blemish. Speaking to ESNews, the undefeated 32-0 (26 KO) cruiserweight champion picked Jesse 'Bam' Rodriguez to upset Inoue in a proposed 122lb showdown — a fight that would be the Japanese star's first since May and his toughest test since going 33-0 (27 KO).

Inoue has been sitting out since a career-best unanimous decision over Junto Nakatani back in May, enjoying rare downtime after a brutal stretch as undisputed super-bantamweight ruler. Rodriguez has been circling in the meantime, moving up to bantamweight in June and grabbing the WBA strap there, which puts the Texan right in the frame for a move to Inoue's weight.

The Clock Is Ticking

This isn't an open-ended courtship. Inoue has handed Rodriguez a hard deadline of March 2027, with the WBC, IBF and WBO champion threatening to jump to featherweight if Bam can't be ready in time. By all accounts Rodriguez has now accepted those terms, which moves the matchup from wishful thinking to genuine possibility.

Benavidez didn't hedge. He said he'd simply love to watch the fight and called it a great matchup, but when pressed he leaned toward Rodriguez springing the upset. He admitted the pick comes with a personal tilt — he's met Bam a few times, rates him as a good guy, and gives him his support. Not exactly a cold statistical read, but a notable vote from a man who knows what elite power looks like.

What the Numbers Say

The gap on paper is real. Inoue is 33-0 with 27 stoppages — a finish rate north of 80 percent — and just outboxed Nakatani, himself a 32-1 operator with 24 KOs. Rodriguez would be climbing in weight again to challenge arguably the best pound-for-pound fighter on the planet, inside his own division.

Whether Rodriguez squeezes in a December tune-up before all this is still up in the air. What's clear is that his decision window is closing fast, and the sport's hardest puncher at cruiserweight has already told everyone which way he's leaning.

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